On a Governor’s Decision

Sarah Palin continues to be an intriguing personality. To some she is a popular icon, while to others she’s an ongoing reality show. To some she’s a dose of fresh air, to others a bag of wind.

Since her recent surprise resignation announcement, here are some thoughts.

  • No matter the spin or the reason, she quit
  • For someone who complains about the media, she sure likes thrusting herself into the limelight
  • Unfortunately, public scrutiny is part of being in a public figure, but obsessing the media and claiming victim are contradictory
  • She is a popular Republican at a time when the party lacks interesting people – thus the perfect opportunity to make money
  • I’m not convinced that her resignation ends a 2012 presidential bid – winning the nomination is another story
  • She has a political base, but winning elections involves expanding the base
  • To the “right-of-center” coalition she wants to build – Excuse me Governor, that’s called the Republican Party

Opinions since her resignation have covered a great range – even among Republicans. But for those who think she’s on her way to the White House, let’s do the math.

According to a nationwide USA Today poll, 67% of Republicans want Palin as “a major national political figure” and 71% would vote for her in 2012. On the contrary, 75% percent of Democrats and 55% of independents want her off the national stage.

For the sake of statistics, let’s use the following breakdown of American voters: 25% Republicans, 35% Democrats, and 40% independents. So, at best (meaning she gets all the non-negative votes) her support is (.71 * .25) + (.25 * .35) + (.45 * .40), then the quantity times 100 = 44.5% approval rating, which won’t win squat!

Both of us in this house were leaning toward John McCain and neither voted for him. His decision to offer Palin a spot on the ticket was a major mistake, as was her decision to accept. Meanwhile, when I hold my Republican ballot at the Ohio 2012 primary, she won’t get my vote. If she reappears on the November ballot, she still won’t get my vote.